Ranking the top five most likely American players to win the US Open before any warm-up events have taken place

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With the Australian Open, French Open, and Wimbledon behind us, there’s just one Grand Slam left to look forward to in 2025.

We’ve already seen plenty of American success at majors in 2025, especially on the WTA Tour.

In Melbourne, Madison Keys defeated Aryna Sabalenka to win her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open.

Not to be outshone, Coco Gauff proceeded to win the French Open, doubling her major tally.

It’s been a strong start for the stars of American tennis, but who is most likely to win their home tournament at the US Open later in the year?

Top five American favorites to win the US Open

1. Coco Gauff

It’s hard to look past Gauff as a potential favorite for the US Open, considering she won the title back in 2023.

Now a two-time Grand Slam champion following her victory in Paris, the American star knows exactly what to do at the major tournaments.

She’ll likely return to Flushing Meadows with a chip on her shoulder, having suffered a surprising fourth-round defeat at last year’s event.

Determined and more dangerous than ever, it wouldn’t come as much of a surprise to see Gauff lift the trophy once more in 2025.

2. Taylor Fritz

Enjoying his career-best Grand Slam result in 2024, Taylor Fritz reached the final of the US Open, where he fell short against Jannik Sinner.

Continuing to impress on hard courts, Fritz finished off his year with an appearance in the final of the ATP Finals.

The 27-year-old wasn’t able to carry that form over to the 2025 season, but rediscovered his best tennis on the grass recently, winning two warm-up tournaments before qualifying for the Wimbledon semis.

If Fritz can maintain the level he showed on grass on hard courts, he’ll definitely be in contention during the second week of the US Open.

3. Jessica Pegula

Just as Fritz did, Jessica Pegula contested her first Grand Slam final at the US Open in 2024, as she lost to world number one Sabalenka in straight sets.

The 31-year-old continues to impress on the WTA Tour, and whilst her major performances haven’t quite been up to scratch in 2025, winning three tour-level titles proves just how dangerous she can be.

• Jessica Pegula won the 2025 ATX Open (Hard)
• Jessica Pegula won the 2025 Charleston Open (Clay)
• Jessica Pegula won the 2025 Bad Homburg Open (Grass)

Whether Pegula can add a Grand Slam title to that list remains to be seen, but she’ll certainly be one to look out for.

4. Ben Shelton

There aren’t many players in tennis today who rise to the occasion quite like Ben Shelton.

The 22-year-old consistently finds his best tennis at the Grand Slam tournaments and has yet to lose to anyone but Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz at majors in 2025.

If Shelton can avoid the world number one and two during the first week in New York, you wouldn’t want to bet against him reaching another Grand Slam semifinal.

5. Frances Tiafoe

When Frances Tiafoe retires from tennis, his highlight reel will be packed with moments from the US Open.

Twice a semifinalist at Flushing Meadows, Tiafoe steps into another gear whenever he plays on Arthur Ashe Stadium.

The Americans’ two semifinal defeats came in five-set thrillers, losing out to Alcaraz in 2022 and to Fritz in 2024.

There’s no doubt he will be looking to go one better this time around and reach his first final, something he is more than capable of doing.

The last ten American US Open champions

Fritz, Pegula, and Tiafoe may all be in with a shout of winning the US Open in September, but which American players have actually won the tournament?

Since 2000, there have been 11 American winners at Flushing Meadows, as one player in particular enjoyed a spell of dominance on Arthur Ashe Stadium.

Only time will tell if anyone can begin to replicate the success of Serena Williams at the US Open in 2025, but it will certainly be something to look out for.

The 2025 US Open is scheduled to begin on Sunday, August 24.