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Predicting what the top 10 in the ATP rankings will look like at the end of 2026

Photo by Costas Baltas/Anadolu via Getty Images
Photo by Costas Baltas/Anadolu via Getty Images
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The 2025 season has drawn to a close, as we now know who will finish the year ranked inside the top 10.

Spain’s Carlos Alcaraz and Italy’s Jannik Sinner finished one and two, by some distance… thanks to their performances at the four Grand Slams.

Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic slotted in at three and four, ahead of Felix Auger-Aliassime and Taylor Fritz.

Alexander Zverev looking on during his second round match at the 2025 US Open.
Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images

Alex de Minaur, Lorenzo Musetti, Ben Shelton, and Jack Draper rounded out the 2025 year-end top 10.

READ MORE: Predicting what the top 10 in the ATP rankings will look like at the end of 2025

They will all hope to maintain their top-10 status next year, although it won’t be easy, with the chasing pack not far behind.

So, who will finish inside the ATP top 10 next year?

Predicting the ATP year-end top ten for 2026

1. Jannik Sinner

Sinner narrowly missed out on the top spot this year, but likely would have had it covered if not for his three-month suspension.

The Italian won another two Grand Slams, a Masters 1000 title, the ATP Finals, and two ATP 500s in 2025, taking his ATP title tally to 24.

RankNameATP TitlesATP titles in 2025
1Novak Djokovic1012
T-2Carlos Alcaraz248
T-2Jannik Sinner246
T-2Alexander Zverev241
T-5Daniil Medvedev211
T-5Marin Cilic210
Most ATP titles among active players

If he can find a way to beat his rival Alcaraz on a more regular basis, then Sinner could well settle in at number one for the foreseeable future…

2. Carlos Alcaraz

Alcaraz pipped Sinner to number one in 2025, clinching the year-end top spot for the second time in his career.

Like Sinner, Alcaraz won two Grand Slams this year and contested three major finals.

Jannik Sinner looks on as Carlos Alcaraz lifts the 2025 US Open title
Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

He may slip ever so slightly in 2026, but the chances are it will be Sinner and Alcaraz head and shoulders above the rest once again.

3. Taylor Fritz

During the latter stages of the 2025 season, Fritz reminded fans how he became the first American Grand Slam finalist since Andy Roddick.

Fritz beat Alcaraz at the Laver Cup and picked up another win over Zverev, before running out of steam at the ATP Finals in Turin.

Should he maintain his level and fitness for an entire calendar year, don’t be surprised to see Fritz make his top-three debut in 2026.

4. Alexander Zverev

When Sinner was suspended for three months earlier this year, some questioned whether Zverev could eclipse him for the number-one ranking.

Those questions were answered emphatically. No.

Where will Alexander Zverev finish 2026 ranked?

It became clear that Zverev is simply no match for Alcaraz and Sinner, at least right now, and we could see him slip further down the rankings in 2026.

5. Jack Draper

Britain’s Draper looked on course for a top-five finish earlier this year, before injuries put those dreams to bed.

However, it’s important not to forget just how well Draper was playing during the first half of 2025, as he won Indian Wells and reached a second Masters 1000 final at the Madrid Open.

If he can stay injury-free in the new year, it shouldn’t take long for Draper to return to the top five and begin closing the gap to those ranked above him.

6. Novak Djokovic

The fact that Djokovic finished 2025 ranked fourth in the world despite playing just a handful of tournaments is simply remarkable.

Reaching the semifinals of all four Grand Slams, Djokovic maintained his place in the top-five, aged 38.

Novak Djokovic celebrates his win over Lorenzo Musetti at the 2025 Hellenic Championship
Photo by Costas Baltas/Anadolu via Getty Images

The likelihood is that he will play a similarly shortened schedule next year, and if his body holds up, he may hold onto his place in the top 10 for at least one more season.

7. Felix Auger-Aliassime

It’s easy to be a victim of the moment, and many have predicted Auger-Aliassime to push on in 2026 and begin challenging Alcaraz and Sinner.

While his performances at the back-end of 2025 were impressive, that may be a step too far…

Where do you think Felix Auger-Aliassime will finish the year ranked next year?

The Canadian has yet to produce such a level consistently, and if he can finish another year inside the top 10, then perhaps 2027 could be the year he makes the leap towards the top of the rankings.

8. Daniil Medvedev

Russia’s Medvedev finished 2025 ranked fifth in the world, but will finish this year at 13th.

However, he did seem to find another gear during the final few months of the season, winning his first title since 2023 at the Almaty Open in Kazakhstan.

Given a full off-season with his new coaching team, Medvedev may be one to look out for in 2026.

9. Joao Fonseca

Teenage sensation Joao Fonseca broke through to win the first two titles of his career in 2025, at the Argentina Open and Swiss Indoors.

Joao Fonseca holds the 2025 Swiss Indoors title.
Photo by FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP via Getty Images

When he’s on, he looks like one of the best players in the men’s game, and it’s scary to think what he may achieve if he can find that level more consistently.

If he can, then the Brazilian may well make his way into the top 10 by the end of 2026.

10. Alex de Minaur

De Minaur was at his battling best in Turin, fighting back from two heartbreaking defeats to snatch a spot in the semifinals by taking down Fritz.

It’s that resilience and determination that has kept De Minaur in the top 10 this year, and may well be enough for him to hold onto his spot for another 12 months.

He will, however, need to find another level against the very top players if he is to make a step forward.

Only time will tell who will finish in the top 10 next year, but it will certainly be worth tuning in for.