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Tennis fans predict who will win the 2026 Australian Open, their picks may surprise you

Photo by DAVID GRAY/AFP via Getty Images
Photo by DAVID GRAY/AFP via Getty Images
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The 2026 Australian Open is right around the corner, as the stars of men’s and women’s tennis prepare to battle it out Down Under.

In 2025, Jannik Sinner and Madison Keys won the Australian Open titles, beating Alexander Zverev and Aryna Sabalenka in the respective finals.

But who will emerge victorious in 2026?

Who is your dark horse for the 2026 Australian Open?

The Norman Brookes Challenge Cup and the Daphne Akhurst Memorial Cup are seen during a media opportunity ahead of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park.
Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images

We asked The Tennis Gazette readers to predict who will win the 2026 Australian Open on TalkingPoints and received over 7,500 votes.

Here are their picks…

Tennis fans predict someone other than Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek and Coco Gauff to win

We gave TalkingPoints users four options: Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, and ‘Other’.

To our surprise, ‘Other’ won the largest share of the vote (34.2%) ahead of Sabalenka (30.62%), Swiatek (18.52%), and Gauff (16.66%).

TalkingPoints users vote for their 2026 Australian Open women's singles champion

Perhaps ‘Other’ isn’t that surprising a pick, considering neither Sabalenka, Swiatek, nor Gauff won in 2025, but who do our readers believe will win this time around?

Several commenters named Elena Rybakina as their champion-elect.

“Rybakina for the Grand Slam,” said one fan.

“Rybakina,” added others.

The 2022 Wimbledon champion won the WTA Finals last November, beating Swiatek and Sabalenka in Riyadh.

Elena Rybakina poses with the WTA Finals trophy after beating Aryna Sabalenka in the 2025 final in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Photo by Clicks Images/Getty Images

If she can carry that form through to the first Grand Slam of 2026, then there’s no reason why she can’t double her major tally.

But how does Rybakina’s Australian Open record stack up to the other contenders?

PlayerBest Australian Open performanceAustralian Open recordAustralian Open win %TalkingPoints vote share
Aryna SabalenkaChampion – 2023, 202428-682%30.62%
Iga SwiatekSF – 2022, 202522-776%18.52%
Coco GauffSF – 202416-673%16.66%
Elena RybakinaF – 202314-670%34.2% (Other*)
Comparing the Australian Open contenders’ records at the event

Despite reaching the 2023 Australian Open final, Rybakina has a worse record in Melbourne than the three big contenders.

Whether she can improve upon that record in 2026 remains to be seen…

Jannik Sinner is expected to defend his Australian Open title

It isn’t hard to imagine who tennis fans picked to win the men’s singles title.

Two-time defending champion Sinner is expected to go back-to-back-to-back on Rod Laver Arena.

The Italian won the largest share of the vote (47.11%), ahead of his big rival Carlos Alcaraz (30.73%), Novak Djokovic (15.64%), and ‘Other’ (6.52%).

TalkingPoints users predict the 2026 Australian Open men's singles champion

Highlighting the differences between the men’s and women’s game, only 299 fans (6.52%) predicted anyone other than Alcaraz, Sinner, and Djokovic to win the Australian Open.

Sinner is certainly the favorite, but how have the trio performed Down Under throughout their careers?

PlayerBest Australian Open performanceAustralian Open recordAustralian Open win %TalkingPoints vote share
Carlos AlcarazQF – 2024, 202511-473%30.73%
Jannik SinnerChampion – 2024, 202522-485%47.11%
Novak DjokovicChampion – 2008, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2015, 2016, 2019, 2020, 2021, 202399-1091%15.64%

Of the three, it’s Djokovic who has played the best Down Under.

The Serb has won a record 10 Australian Open titles, picking up 99 career wins at the tournament.

Who is the greatest male tennis player of all time?

To see just 15.64% backing him to lift the trophy in 2026 is surprising to say the least.

Novak Djokovic celebrates his win over Carlos Alcaraz at the 2025 Australian Open
Photo by DAVID GRAY/AFP via Getty Images

Perhaps our readers have resigned themselves to another year of Alcaraz/Sinner dominance at the Grand Slam level.

In 2024 and 2025, the world’s number one and two won all eight available Grand Slam titles.

Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner’s Grand Slam streak

The last different player to win a major was Djokovic at the 2023 US Open.

Only time will tell if he can return to the top of men’s tennis and win the elusive 25th Grand Slam title this year.

The 2026 Australian Open tournament is scheduled to begin on Sunday, January 18.