Daniil Medvedev fell out of the world’s top 10 this year.
The Russian star finished 2024 ranked fifth in the world, but now sits 13th in the ATP rankings.
He did, however, find some form at the end of the year, as Medvedev won his first title since 2023 at the Almaty Open in Kazakhstan.

Medvedev was also impressive at the China Open, Shanghai Masters, and Paris Masters, leaving many feeling positive about his chances in 2026.
During an exhibition event in Russia, former doubles Grand Slam finalist Mansour Bahrami predicted where Medvedev will be ranked next year.
Mansour Bahrami is ‘sure’ Daniil Medvedev will return to the top 10 next year
Speaking to ‘Bolshe‘, Bahrami shared his prediction about Medvedev.
“Daniil Medvedev has been a lot better at the end of the year,” he said.

“He’s been number one in the world, he’s a great player, and he’s been there for the past 10 years.
“I think he’ll be back in the top 10 for sure, and I have no doubt about that.”
Medvedev currently trails world number 10 Jack Draper by 230 points.
2025 year-end ATP Rankings
| Rank | Name | Country | Points | Gap to top 10 |
| 10 | Jack Draper | Great Britain | 2,990 | – |
| 11 | Alexander Bublik | Kazakhstan | 2,870 | 120 |
| 12 | Casper Ruud | Norway | 2,835 | 155 |
| 13 | Daniil Medvedev | Russia | 2,760 | 230 |
| 14 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Spain | 2,635 | 355 |
| 15 | Holger Rune | Denmark | 2,590 | 400 |
| 16 | Andrey Rublev | Russia | 2,520 | 470 |
| 17 | Jiri Lehecka | Czechia | 2,325 | 665 |
| 18 | Karen Khachanov | Russia | 2,320 | 670 |
| 19 | Jakub Mensik | Czechia | 2,180 | 810 |
The 2021 US Open champion will look to close that gap down as soon as possible and will have an opportunity to do so at the upcoming Australian Open.
Who will be the biggest disappointment at the 2026 Australian Open?
Medvedev lost in the second round this January, meaning he won’t have many points to defend, but he has an impressive record at Rod Laver Arena.
The Russian is a three-time finalist in Melbourne and has won 76% of his matches Down Under.
Daniil Medvedev’s record at the Australian Open
| Year | Round lost in | Opponent | Score |
| 2025 | 2R | Learner Tien | 3-6, 6-7, 7-6, 6-1, 6-7 |
| 2024 | F | Jannik Sinner | 6-3, 6-3, 4-6, 4-6, 3-6 |
| 2023 | 3R | Sebastian Korda | 6-7, 3-6, 6-7 |
| 2022 | F | Rafael Nadal | 6-2, 7-6, 4-6, 4-6, 5-7 |
| 2021 | F | Novak Djokovic | 5-7, 2-6, 2-6 |
| 2020 | 4R | Stan Wawrinka | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4, 6-7, 2-6 |
| 2019 | 4R | Novak Djokovic | 4-6, 7-6, 2-6, 3-6 |
| 2018 | 2R | Hyeon Chung | 6-7, 1-6, 1-6 |
| 2017 | 1R | Ernesto Escobedo | 5-7, 6-4, 6-7, 1-6 |
Twice, Medvedev was a set away from winning the Australian Open, in 2022 and 2024.
He famously led Rafael Nadal by two sets to love in 2022, before crumbling to defeat in a match now remembered as the ‘miracle in Melbourne’.
Rafael Nadal vs Daniil Medvedev, 2022 Australian Open final highlights
Only time will tell if Medvedev will ever get his hands on the Australian Open trophy, but it will certainly be something to look out for in 2026.
How well did Daniil Medvedev perform at the end of 2025?
After struggling earlier in the season, Medvedev found a second wind during the last few months of 2025.

Post-US Open, Medvedev won 15 of the 20 matches he played.
Daniil Medvedev’s post-US Open form in 2025
- 2025 Hangzhou Open R32 [WIN] vs Nishesh Basavareddy
- 2025 Hangzhou Open QF [LOSS] vs Yibing Wu
- 2025 China Open R32 [WIN] vs Cameron Norrie
- 2025 China Open R16 [WIN] vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- 2025 China Open QF [WIN] vs Alexander Zverev
- 2025 China Open SF [LOSS] vs Learner Tien
- 2025 Shanghai Masters R64 [WIN] vs Dalibor Svrcina
- 2025 Shanghai Masters R32 [WIN] vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- 2025 Shanghai Masters R16 [WIN] vs Learner Tien
- 2025 Shanghai Masters QF [WIN] vs Alex de Minaur
- 2025 Shanghai Masters SF [LOSS] vs Arthur Rinderknech
- 2025 Almaty Open R16 [WIN] vs Adam Walton
- 2025 Almaty Open QF [WIN] vs Fabian Marozsan
- 2025 Almaty Open SF [WIN] vs James Duckworth
- 2025 Almaty Open F [WIN] vs Corentin Moutet
- 2025 Vienna Open R32 [WIN] vs Nuno Borges
- 2025 Vienna Open R16 [LOSS] vs Corentin Moutet
- 2025 Paris Masters R64 [WIN] vs Jaume Munar
- 2025 Paris Masters R32 – Walkover
- 2025 Paris Masters R16 [WIN] vs Lorenzo Sonego
- 2025 Paris Masters QF [LOSS] vs Alexander Zverev
If he can carry that momentum forward into 2026, don’t be surprised to see Medvedev break back into the top 10, if not the top five, before too long…
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