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The two Grand Slam finalists at risk of tumbling down the ATP rankings during the clay court season

Image of the French Open court with two mystery player insets
Credit: Getty Images/by Aurelien Meunier
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The 2025 clay court season is well underway as the stars of the ATP Tour look to produce their best tennis on the red dirt.

Several ATP players are currently competing in Houston, Marrakesh, and Bucharest, searching for some valuable points as they aim to climb the rankings.

The clay season will properly kick off in Monte-Carlo next week, however, as the top players in men’s tennis battle it out in the principality.

Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters - Day Five
Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images

Masters 1000 events in Madrid and Rome will follow before the French Open begins on Sunday, May 25.

Clay court specialists will be eagerly anticipating their first matches on the surfaces, although two top-ten stars may well be feeling the pressure, knowing that a few bad losses could see them tumble down the rankings.

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud are at risk of falling down the rankings during the clay season

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud are two of the ATP Tour’s most dangerous clay-court players, having enjoyed real success on the surface recently.

Both players have competed in Roland Garros finals, with the Norwegian finishing as the runner-up in Paris twice.

Casper Ruud looks on as Novak Djokovic holds the Roland Garros title.
Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

However, away from the clay, Tsitsipas and Ruud have struggled to perform during the early months of the 2025 season and currently sit outside the top 15 in the ATP’s Race to Turin.’

RankNameATP Rank2025 points
19Stefanos Tsitsipas8th815
20Alexandre Muller41st740
21Andrey Rublev9th740
22Tallon Griekspoor37th735
23Joao Fonseca59th732
24Jiri Lehecka29th730
25Camilo Ugo Carabelli63rd638
26Gael Monfils42nd635
27Casper Ruud6th635
Snapshot of the Live ATP ‘Race to Turin’

As they earned the majority of their ATP points on the clay last year, Tsitsipas and Ruud will have a lot to defend over the coming months.

Failure to do so could result in both players falling out of the world’s top 20.

The clay-court points Stefanos Tsitsipas has to defend in 2025

In 2024, Tsitsipas competed in five clay-court tournaments during this stretch of the season, securing several impressive results.

TournamentResultPoints earnedAccumulative points
2024 Monte-Carlo MastersWon1,0001,000
2024 Barcelona OpenLost in F3301,330
2024 Madrid OpenLost in 2R301,360
2024 Italian OpenLost in QF2001,560
2024 French OpenLost in QF4001,960
Stefanos Tsitsipas’ 2024 clay season

Tsitsipas and Ruud exchanged victories in Monte-Carlo and Barcelona, as the former won his third Masters 1000 title before losing in Spain.

Solid runs in Rome and Paris followed, with the Greek accumulating an impressive 1,960 points across the five events.

Subtracting those points from his current ATP tally would see him ranked 34th in the world, emphasizing the need for Tsitsipas to get off to a strong start in 2025.

The clay-court points Casper Ruud has to defend in 2025

Winning the Barcelona Open in 2024, Ruud began his clay-court season by taking home the biggest title of his career.

TournamentResultPoints earnedAccumulative points
2024 Monte-Carlo MastersLost in F650650
2024 Barcelona OpenWon5001,150
2024 Madrid Open Lost in 4R1001,250
2024 Italian OpenLost in 2R301,280
2024 Geneva OpenWon2501,530
2024 French OpenLost in SF8002,330
Casper Ruud’s 2024 clay season

He added another title shortly after in Geneva as he continued to rack up the points on clay.

Casper Ruud lifts the Geneva Open title in 2024
Photo by FABRICE COFFRINI/AFP via Getty Images

A run to the last four at the French Open saw Ruud finish on a remarkable points total of 2,330.

Losing those points would see Ruud take a dramatic tumble down the rankings and also see him sat in 34th place.

How likely are Stefanos Tsitsipas and Casper Ruud to fall down the rankings?

The reality is clay-court specialists wouldn’t be known as clay-court specialists if they weren’t expected to pick up results on the surface.

Tsitsipas and Ruud are more than likely to defend a significant chunk of their clay court points in 2025 and may well be considered favorites at certain tournaments.

Traveling to Monte-Carlo next week, few would bet against the Greek picking up a fourth title, as he looks to improve upon his remarkable record at the event.

Stefanos Tsitsipas poses with the Monte-Carlo title in 2024.
Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images

The question is whether or not the pair will feel the pressure, entering the clay-court season low on confidence and with a lot of work to do.

Only time will tell if Ruud and Tsitsipas can maintain their top-ten status, but they’ll certainly hope to get off on the right foot when the Monte-Carlo Masters begin on April 7.