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Madison Keys names the lower-ranked American player who could be ‘very dangerous’ at Indian Wells

Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images
Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images
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At least 18 American women will compete for the Indian Wells singles title in 2026.

Three more can join the main draw if they win their second qualifying matches.

The likes of Coco Gauff, Amanda Anisimova, Jessica Pegula, and Madison Keys are the nation’s best hopes, but which lower-ranked Americans might make a run?

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During the latest episode of ‘The Player’s Box Podcast‘, Keys answered that very question.

Madison Keys tips ‘very dangerous’ Hailey Baptiste to impress at Indian Wells

“I am going to throw out Hailey Baptiste,” said Keys.

Madison Keys pictured ahead of Indian Wells in 2026
Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images

“I think Hailey’s game on those courts could be very dangerous.

“I think she is incredibly talented, but I think she has been playing some very good tennis.

Hailey Baptiste in 2026

TournamentPerformanceMatch wins
Brisbane InternationalLost in 1R to Yulia Putintseva0
Hobart InternationalLost in 1R to Renata Zarazua0
Australian OpenLost in 3R to Coco Gauff2
Abu Dhabi OpenLost in SF to Ekaterina Alexandrova3
Dubai Tennis ChampionshipsLost in 1R to Alex Eala0
Hailey Baptiste in 2026

“So I would not be surprised if she had a very good tournament.

“I am going to back you up on that,” added Jennifer Brady.

“I hit with her two days ago, and she was feeling it!”

“She is just a really good tennis player,” said Pegula.

Hailey Baptiste at the 2026 Abu Dhabi Open
Photo by Christopher Pike/Getty Images

Keys, Brady, and Pegula are all backing Baptiste to impress at Indian Wells, but how has the 24-year-old performed in California over the years?

Baptiste is 2-3 at Indian Wells and has yet to reach the third round.

Hailey Baptiste’s Indian Wells record (2-3)

She did, however, push Keys all the way to a third-set tiebreaker when they met in 2024, which may explain why last year’s Australian Open champ picked her as one to watch at Indian Wells.

Baptiste would love to make a deeper run in 2026, but how has the draw treated her?

The world number 43 will play Colombia’s Emiliana Arango in the first round.

Should there be a fifth Grand Slam?

If so, which tournament would it be?

A general view of the Indian Wells Open.
Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

Should she beat Arango, Baptiste would meet world number three Elena Rybakina in round two.

If she were to win that match, Baptiste would become a genuine title contender.

How well do Americans perform at Indian Wells?

There are several American players in with a chance of winning Indian Wells this year, but of the last 10 winners, how many represented the United States?

YearWinnerCountryRunner-upCountry
2025Mirra AndreevaRussiaAryna SabalenkaBelarus
2024Iga SwiatekPolandMaria SakkariGreece
2023Elena RybakinaKazakhstanAryna SabalenkaBelarus
2022Iga SwiatekPolandMaria SakkariGreece
2021Paula BadosaSpainVictoria AzarenkaBelarus
2019Bianca AndreescuCanadaAngelique KerberGermany
2018Naomi OsakaJapanDaria KasatkinaRussia
2017Elena VesninaRussiaSvetlana KuznetsovaRussia
2016Victoria AzarenkaBelarusSerena WilliamsUSA
2015Simona HalepRomaniaJelena JankovicSerbia
Last 10 Indian Wells women’s singles finals

0.

In fact, only one American player, Serena Williams, reached the final during that period.

It doesn’t look much better if you go back another 10 years.

Williams was the last American woman to win Indian Wells, lifting the trophy back in 2001.

Serena Williams wins Indian Wells in 2001
17 Mar 2001: Kim Clijsters and Serena Williams pose with their trophies after the match during the Tennis Master Series at the Indian Wells Tennis Gardens in Indian Wells, California. Williams defeated Clijsters 4-6, 6-4, 6-2.Mandatory Credit: Adam Pretty/AUS /Allsport

On the 25th anniversary of Williams’ triumph, will an American end the drought?

Only time will tell.

The 2026 Indian Wells main draw begins on Wednesday, March 4.