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Karolina Muchova highlights the ‘biggest’ change she’s noticed about Naomi Osaka after losing to her at the US Open

Photo by Foto Olimpik/NurPhoto via Getty Images
Photo by Foto Olimpik/NurPhoto via Getty Images
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Naomi Osaka continued her march towards a third US Open title with an impressive quarterfinal win.

After Osaka stunned Coco Gauff in the last 16, she advanced to take on Czechia’s Karolina Muchova in the quarterfinals.

Producing a clinical display, Osaka beat Muchova in straight sets, 6-4, 7-6, to qualify for her first Grand Slam semifinal in four years.

Naomi Osaka celebrating her win over Karolina Muchova at the 2025 US Open.
Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images

Muchova was disappointed to have missed out on the semis herself, but couldn’t help but notice a big change in Osaka during their quarterfinal clash.

Karolina Muchova has noticed a big change in Naomi Osaka’s confidence

During her post-match press conference, Muchova highlighted the biggest change she’s noticed in Osaka recently.

“I think she played great before, even last year in Australia and here as well. I think maybe the change would be in the confidence,” she said.

“She played great in Montreal and got some good matches under her belt, winning matches.

“I think that is the biggest difference, the confidence.

“You can see she believes in her shots more and in the key points she plays well. I would say that’s probably different.

Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka embrace after their match at the 2025 US Open
Photo by Foto Olimpik/NurPhoto via Getty Images

“But even in those matches before she was always a tough competitor and it was tough to play her every time.”

Muchova now trails the head-to-head with Osaka 2-3, having lost to her at both the Australian Open and US Open in 2025.

MatchWinnerLoserScore
2025 US Open – QFNaomi OsakaKarolina Muchova6-4, 7-6
2025 Australian Open – 2RNaomi OsakaKarolina Muchova1-6, 6-1, 6-3
2024 US Open – 2RKarolina MuchovaNaomi Osaka6-3, 7-6
2021 Madrid Open – 2RKarolina MuchovaNaomi Osaka6-4, 3-6, 6-1
2020 Cincinnati Open – Naomi OsakaKarolina Muchova6-7, 6-4, 6-2
Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova’s head-to-head record

With three of their previous four matches requiring a deciding set, Muchova failed to win a set this time, even if there were several ‘close games’.

Naomi Osaka played ‘really well’ in ‘tough battle’ – Karolina Muchova

Sharing her thoughts on the match itself, Muchova was full of praise for her Japanese opponent.

“It was a very tough match. I think Naomi played really well, especially in the key moments,” she said.

“We had some close games that could go either way but on her serve she usually served pretty well.

PlayerAcesDouble faults1st Serve %Win % on 1st ServeWin % on 2nd ServeService points won
Naomi Osaka5265%75%48%50
Karolina Muchova4072%73%38%36
Serving stats from Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka

“It was a tough battle.”

Osaka won 14 more service points than Muchova during their quarterfinal, as the shot fired her towards the last four.

Naomi Osaka hits a serve at the 2025 US Open
Photo by TIMOTHY A.CLARY/AFP via Getty Images

The four-time major champion will now turn her attention to the semifinals, and a match against Amanda Anisimova.

Muchova, on the other hand, will prepare to return in Beijing, for the China Open, where she finished as the runner-up a year ago.

Naomi Osaka has chance to win fifth Grand Slam at the US Open

After winning four Grand Slams between 2018 and 2021, Osaka began to struggle for form, and hasn’t added to her tally since.

Now just two wins away from a fifth major, Osaka has an opportunity to close the gap to Venus Williams and Iga Swiatek at the top of the ‘active’ Slam champions list.

To do so, she’ll need to beat both Anisimova, and either Aryna Sabalenka or Jessica Pegula in the final.

Looking to advance to her first Grand Slam final since the 2021 Australian Open, Osaka will play Anisimova in the semis on Thursday, September 4.